USL Championship
Match Analysis
Louisville City
Detroit City
Louisville City
D
L
W
W
L
W
Detroit City
W
D
L
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit City | Louisville City | 2 - 1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Louisville City | Detroit City | 0 - 1 | November 1, 2025 |
| Detroit City | Louisville City | 0 - 1 | September 27, 2025 |
| Louisville City | Detroit City | 2 - 0 | March 29, 2025 |
| Detroit City | Louisville City | 2 - 1 | September 22, 2024 |
| Louisville City | Detroit City | 5 - 1 | May 29, 2024 |
Louisville City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | San Antonio | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 5 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Birmingham Legion | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Trinidad and Tobago | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Hartford Athletic | 1 - 0 | Win |
Detroit City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | FC Tulsa | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Las Vegas Lights | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Indy Eleven | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Birmingham Legion | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Sporting JAX | 2 - 6 | Win |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Detroit City | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | +8 | 28 |
| 10 | Louisville City | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 31 | +1 | 27 |
Predictions
Louisville City to win
This prediction indicates that Louisville City has a 42.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.39 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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