HB Koge vs Roskilde Saturday 11th July 2026 12:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

HB Koge Roskilde

HB Koge L L W D W D

Roskilde W W L L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
HB Koge	Roskilde	4 - 3	May 4, 2025
Roskilde	HB Koge	1 - 1	April 17, 2025
HB Koge	Roskilde	2 - 1	March 14, 2025
Roskilde	HB Koge	0 - 2	September 29, 2024
HB Koge	Roskilde	0 - 1	July 15, 2023
Roskilde	HB Koge	2 - 2	June 14, 2020

HB Koge Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Aalborg	1 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Hobro	0 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Middelfart	0 - 4	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Aarhus Fremad	0 - 0	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	B 93	3 - 2	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	Aalborg	1 - 1	Draw

Roskilde Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	HIK	3 - 2	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Thisted FC	1 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Vendsyssel FF	3 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Naestved	0 - 1	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	AB Copenhagen	1 - 2	Win
May 8, 26	Away	HIK	1 - 2	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
84	Roskilde	5	5	0	0	15	5	+10	15
291	HB Koge	7	2	4	1	16	13	+3	10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.52% likelihood that both HB Koge and Roskilde will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Roskilde to win

This prediction indicates that Roskilde has a 47.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.57 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs