Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren Saturday 10th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Premiership

View league ›

Heart Of Midlothian View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 14 hours ago

5 – 0

Full Time

ST Mirren View team ›

Match Analysis

Heart Of Midlothian ST Mirren

Heart Of Midlothian D L W W W W

ST Mirren L L L W D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, matches between Heart Of Midlothian and ST Mirren have often finished as draws, but the model predicts a home win with a 68% probability. This outlook reflects a clear quality gap favoring Heart Of Midlothian, combined with their strong recent form versus ST Mirren's poor form. The model also sees Heart Of Midlothian's recent attacking strength as a key factor, and it expects more goals than usual, agreeing with the market's view on both over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
ST Mirren	Heart Of Midlothian	1 - 0	February 3, 2026
Heart Of Midlothian	ST Mirren	2 - 0	January 14, 2026
ST Mirren	Heart Of Midlothian	2 - 2	October 29, 2025
ST Mirren	Heart Of Midlothian	1 - 1	August 16, 2025
Heart Of Midlothian	ST Mirren	3 - 1	February 26, 2025
ST Mirren	Heart Of Midlothian	1 - 1	February 10, 2025

Heart Of Midlothian Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 15, 26	Away	Falkirk	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Away	Stenhousemuir	0 - 3	Win
Sep 6, 26	Home	Dundee	2 - 1	Win
Sep 3, 26	Away	Hibernian	1 - 3	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	ST Johnstone	2 - 1	Win

ST Mirren Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Dundee Utd	0 - 3	Loss
Sep 9, 26	Away	Rangers	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Celtic	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 2, 26	Away	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Win
Aug 30, 26	Home	Motherwell	3 - 3	Draw
Aug 16, 26	Away	Rangers	5 - 1	Loss

Premiership Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.62% likelihood that both Heart Of Midlothian and ST Mirren will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Heart Of Midlothian to win

This prediction indicates that Heart Of Midlothian has a 67.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.61 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Odds Comparison

Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Heart Of Midlothian Form (Last 6 Matches)

ST Mirren Form (Last 6 Matches)

Premiership Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Heart Of Midlothian to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

Trending

Latest transfers

From the blog