Heaton Stannington vs Basford United Saturday 01st August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Heaton Stannington Basford United

Heaton Stannington D W L W W L

Basford United L D D W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Heaton Stannington Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Gateshead	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 7, 26	Away	Hebburn Town	2 - 4	Win
Aug 30, 25	Away	Newcastle Blue Star	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 16, 25	Home	Marske United	3 - 0	Win
Aug 2, 25	Away	Whitley Bay	0 - 1	Win
Aug 21, 24	Home	Garforth Town	2 - 3	Loss

Basford United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Away	Ilkeston Town	4 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Gainsborough Trinity	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 10, 26	Home	AFC Mansfield	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 7, 26	Home	Lincoln United	4 - 3	Win
Aug 30, 25	Away	Hednesford Town	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 16, 25	Home	Hucknall Town	5 - 0	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.3% likelihood that both Heaton Stannington and Basford United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Heaton Stannington to win

This prediction indicates that Heaton Stannington has a 49.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.60 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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