Heerenveen vs De Graafschap Friday 03rd July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Heerenveen De Graafschap

Heerenveen L D L W W L

De Graafschap W D L L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
De Graafschap	Heerenveen	5 - 1	August 15, 2020
Heerenveen	De Graafschap	0 - 3	March 16, 2019
De Graafschap	Heerenveen	0 - 5	October 6, 2018
Heerenveen	De Graafschap	1 - 1	September 20, 2016
De Graafschap	Heerenveen	0 - 1	February 28, 2016
Heerenveen	De Graafschap	3 - 1	August 11, 2015

Heerenveen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 21, 26	Away	Utrecht	3 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Ajax	0 - 0	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	NAC Breda	2 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	FC Volendam	0 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Fortuna Sittard	2 - 1	Win
Apr 12, 26	Away	AZ Alkmaar	3 - 0	Loss

De Graafschap Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Utrecht	1 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Almere City FC	2 - 2	Draw
May 6, 26	Away	Almere City FC	3 - 1	Loss
May 6, 26	Away	Almere City FC	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Away	Emmen	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Home	Cambuur	3 - 1	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1095	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
1629	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.85% likelihood that both Heerenveen and De Graafschap will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

De Graafschap to win

This prediction indicates that De Graafschap has a 45.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.71 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs