Heracles vs Waalwijk Friday 09th October 2026 09:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 9, 2026 6 days, 6 hours ago
3 – 0
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Match Analysis

Heracles Waalwijk
Heracles D W L W W W
Waalwijk D L W W W D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Heracles and Waalwijk both arrive with strong recent form, suggesting an engaging match. Despite Heracles holding a modest quality edge, recent meetings between the two sides have been fairly even, and shot volume has been balanced. The model predicts a home win with a 60% probability, which is notably higher than what the current market odds imply. Additionally, the model supports both teams scoring and that more than one goal will be scored, aligning with very favorable market odds for these outcomes.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Heracles Waalwijk 3 - 1 August 2, 2025
Waalwijk Heracles 0 - 0 April 6, 2025
Heracles Waalwijk 2 - 2 November 23, 2024
Heracles Waalwijk 0 - 5 May 5, 2024
Waalwijk Heracles 1 - 2 January 12, 2024
Waalwijk Heracles 2 - 0 May 11, 2022

Heracles Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 2, 26 Away Helmond Sport 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 26, 26 Home Vitesse 2 - 0 Win
Sep 18, 26 Away Almere City FC 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 11, 26 Home Jong AZ 3 - 2 Win
Sep 4, 26 Home De Graafschap 5 - 0 Win
Aug 30, 26 Away FC Eindhoven 1 - 3 Win

Waalwijk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 3, 26 Home Emmen 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 26, 26 Away Roda 2 - 0 Loss
Sep 18, 26 Home MVV 6 - 1 Win
Sep 11, 26 Away Jong Ajax 0 - 2 Win
Sep 4, 26 Home NAC Breda 4 - 2 Win
Aug 28, 26 Home Jong PSV 2 - 2 Draw

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Heracles 9 7 1 1 28 12 +16 22
7 Waalwijk 9 3 5 1 19 12 +7 14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.91% likelihood that both Heracles and Waalwijk will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Heracles to win
This prediction indicates that Heracles has a 60.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.59 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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