Hereford Pegasus vs Hereford Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Hereford Pegasus Hereford

Hereford Pegasus L L L L D L

Hereford D W W L D W

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 25	Home	Lye Town	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 3, 24	Away	Malvern Town	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 23, 24	Home	Barry Town	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 8, 23	Away	Hanley Town	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 5, 23	Home	Hanley Town	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 6, 22	Home	Stourport Swifts	0 - 6	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Away	Peterborough Sports	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 21, 26	Home	Marine	2 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Radcliffe	3 - 1	Win
Apr 14, 26	Home	Oxford City	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Bedford Town	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 8, 26	Away	Marine	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Hereford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	Hereford Pegasus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Hereford has a 51.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.99 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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