HNK Gorica vs Zorya Luhansk Saturday 04th July 2026 06:30 PM football predictions.

HNK Gorica Zorya Luhansk

HNK Gorica L W L L W W

Zorya Luhansk W D W D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	HNK Rijeka	2 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	NK Osijek	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	NK Slaven Belupo	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Dinamo Zagreb	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 27, 26	Home	Istra 1961	1 - 0	Win
Apr 22, 26	Away	Vukovar	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Karpaty	1 - 2	Win
May 18, 26	Home	Polessya	0 - 0	Draw
May 12, 26	Away	Oleksandria	1 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	1 - 1	Draw
May 4, 26	Away	Ruh Lviv	1 - 2	Win
Apr 27, 26	Home	Veres Rivne	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
147	Zorya Luhansk	10	3	4	3	20	15	+5	13
528	HNK Gorica	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.92% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that HNK Gorica will score 0 goals, and Zorya Luhansk will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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