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Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
2 – 2
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Match Analysis

HNK Hajduk Split Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split W L L W L W
Istra 1961 L D W D W D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

HNK Hajduk Split and Istra 1961 both have moderate recent form, but Hajduk Split has a clear quality gap in their favor and have dominated recent meetings between the two teams, often with many goals scored. The model predicts a home win with a 72% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a good chance for both teams to score (51%) and for the match to have more than 1.5 goals (58%), both of which align reasonably with the market odds.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Istra 1961 HNK Hajduk Split 1 - 3 April 7, 2026
HNK Hajduk Split Istra 1961 1 - 2 January 25, 2026
Istra 1961 HNK Hajduk Split 0 - 3 October 19, 2025
HNK Hajduk Split Istra 1961 2 - 1 August 3, 2025
HNK Hajduk Split Istra 1961 0 - 1 April 23, 2025
Istra 1961 HNK Hajduk Split 1 - 1 February 15, 2025

HNK Hajduk Split Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 6, 26 Away FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2 - 5 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away NK Varazdin 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 30, 26 Away Pafos 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 23, 26 Home Pafos 2 - 0 Win
Jul 16, 26 Away Žilina 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 9, 26 Home Žilina 2 - 0 Win

Istra 1961 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Lecce 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 21, 26 Home Orijent 1919 5 - 2 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Udinese 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 17, 26 Home Milton Keynes Dons 2 - 1 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away Celje 1 - 1 Draw

HNL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Istra 1961 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
7 HNK Hajduk Split 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.75% likelihood that both HNK Hajduk Split and Istra 1961 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
HNK Hajduk Split to win
This prediction indicates that HNK Hajduk Split has a 72.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.84 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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