Hume City vs Avondale Saturday 12th September 2026 11:15 AM football predictions.

Victoria NPL

Hume City

Sept. 12, 2026 4 days, 4 hours from now VS

Avondale

Match Analysis

Hume City Avondale

Hume City L W W W L L

Avondale W W W L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Avondale	Hume City	2 - 0	August 29, 2026
Hume City	Avondale	3 - 0	May 16, 2026
Hume City	Avondale	1 - 2	July 4, 2025
Avondale	Hume City	2 - 0	March 29, 2025
Avondale	Hume City	5 - 0	June 15, 2024
Hume City	Avondale	1 - 2	March 9, 2024

Hume City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 29, 26	Away	Avondale	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Sunshine Georgies	3 - 2	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Heidelberg United	4 - 5	Win
Aug 1, 26	Home	Melbourne City II	1 - 0	Win
Jul 24, 26	Away	St. Albans Saints	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Oakleigh Cannons	0 - 1	Loss

Avondale Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Preston Lions	2 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	Hume City	2 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Altona Magic	0 - 2	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Sunshine Georgies	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Home	Heidelberg United	2 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Melbourne City II	2 - 3	Win

Victoria NPL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Avondale	27	16	2	9	67	34	+33	50
4	Hume City	26	15	4	7	51	36	+15	49

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.44% likelihood that both Hume City and Avondale will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Avondale to win

This prediction indicates that Avondale has a 46.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.70 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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