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USL Championship
Indy Eleven logo Indy Eleven
Sept. 6, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS
Birmingham Legion logo Birmingham Legion

Match Analysis

Indy Eleven Birmingham Legion
Indy Eleven W D L L L L
Birmingham Legion L W L D L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Birmingham Legion Indy Eleven 2 - 2 April 19, 2026
Indy Eleven Birmingham Legion 2 - 1 September 21, 2025
Birmingham Legion Indy Eleven 0 - 1 June 5, 2025
Indy Eleven Birmingham Legion 3 - 2 October 19, 2024
Birmingham Legion Indy Eleven 0 - 1 June 9, 2024
Indy Eleven Birmingham Legion 4 - 0 August 9, 2023

Indy Eleven Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Sporting JAX 0 - 1 Win
Aug 9, 26 Home Hartford Athletic 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away San Antonio 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Loudoun United 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away Detroit City 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Away Miami FC 2 - 0 Loss

Birmingham Legion Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 26 Away Colorado Springs 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Home Rhode Island 1 - 0 Win
Jul 29, 26 Away Louisville City 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Away Miami FC 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 3, 26 Home Detroit City 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Loudoun United 1 - 1 Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
16 Indy Eleven 18 7 4 7 21 21 0 25
22 Birmingham Legion 18 3 8 7 20 24 -4 17

Predictions

Indy Eleven to win
This prediction indicates that Indy Eleven has a 47.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.45 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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USL Championship

Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising an hour ago · 6 a.m. › Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa 2 hours ago · 5 a.m. › Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive 3 hours ago · 4 a.m. › Loudoun United vs New Mexico United 5 hours ago · 1:30 a.m. › Birmingham Legion vs Sporting JAX 4 hours ago · 3 a.m. › San Antonio vs Oakland Roots 3 hours ago · 4 a.m. ›