USL Championship
Match Analysis
Loudoun United
New Mexico United
Loudoun United
W
W
D
D
L
D
New Mexico United
W
W
W
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico United | Loudoun United | 1 - 0 | September 22, 2024 |
| Loudoun United | New Mexico United | 1 - 3 | May 17, 2023 |
| New Mexico United | Loudoun United | 0 - 1 | May 30, 2021 |
Loudoun United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Hartford Athletic | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Indy Eleven | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Sporting JAX | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 24, 26 | Away | Charleston Battery | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Birmingham Legion | 1 - 1 | Draw |
New Mexico United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Colorado Springs | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | Lexington | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Oakland Roots | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 2, 26 | Home | Atlante FC | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Sacramento Republic | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Orange County SC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | New Mexico United | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 27 |
| 21 | Loudoun United | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 18 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.37% likelihood that both Loudoun United and New Mexico United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.New Mexico United to win
This prediction indicates that New Mexico United has a 47.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.67 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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