USL Championship
Match Analysis
Orange County SC
FC Tulsa
Orange County SC
W
W
D
D
W
W
FC Tulsa
W
W
D
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Tulsa | Orange County SC | 0 - 1 | April 12, 2026 |
| FC Tulsa | Orange County SC | 1 - 0 | August 24, 2025 |
| Orange County SC | FC Tulsa | 2 - 1 | May 4, 2025 |
| FC Tulsa | Orange County SC | 0 - 0 | August 10, 2024 |
| Orange County SC | FC Tulsa | 1 - 0 | March 31, 2024 |
| FC Tulsa | Orange County SC | 0 - 3 | June 18, 2023 |
Orange County SC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | El Paso Locomotive | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Monterey Bay | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 8, 26 | Away | Hartford Athletic | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Rhode Island | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 24, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Las Vegas Lights | 2 - 3 | Win |
FC Tulsa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Sacramento Republic | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Lexington | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | El Paso Locomotive | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Colorado Springs | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 18, 26 | Home | Monterey Bay | 2 - 0 | Win |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Orange County SC | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 19 | +10 | 34 |
| 9 | FC Tulsa | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 26 |
Predictions
Orange County SC to win
This prediction indicates that Orange County SC has a 42.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.43 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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