USL Championship
Match Analysis
Indy Eleven
Louisville City
Indy Eleven
L
L
L
L
W
L
Louisville City
L
W
W
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville City | Indy Eleven | 2 - 0 | October 4, 2025 |
| Indy Eleven | Louisville City | 1 - 3 | August 30, 2025 |
| Indy Eleven | Louisville City | 2 - 2 | October 5, 2024 |
| Louisville City | Indy Eleven | 5 - 3 | April 6, 2024 |
| Louisville City | Indy Eleven | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2023 |
| Indy Eleven | Louisville City | 0 - 1 | May 27, 2023 |
Indy Eleven Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | San Antonio | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Loudoun United | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Detroit City | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Charleston Battery | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Louisville City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 5 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Birmingham Legion | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Trinidad and Tobago | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Hartford Athletic | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Brooklyn | 2 - 2 | Draw |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Louisville City | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 31 | +1 | 27 |
| 18 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.17% likelihood that both Indy Eleven and Louisville City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Louisville City to win
This prediction indicates that Louisville City has a 51.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.24 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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