Jagiellonia vs Pogoń Siedlce Saturday 04th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Jagiellonia Pogoń Siedlce

Jagiellonia W D W W L W

Pogoń Siedlce L L L L L W

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Zaglebie Lubin	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	GKS Katowice	2 - 2	Draw
May 13, 26	Away	Raków Częstochowa	0 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Pogon Szczecin	3 - 2	Win
Apr 24, 26	Home	Gornik Zabrze	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	Arka Gdynia	0 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Unia Skierniewice	0 - 3	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Wisla Krakow	2 - 0	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Stal Mielec	1 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Stal Rzeszów	1 - 2	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	ŁKS Łódź	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Miedz Legnica	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
362	Pogoń Siedlce	4	3	0	1	11	5	+6	9
856	Jagiellonia	3	1	1	1	5	5	0	4

This prediction indicates that Jagiellonia has a 35.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.89 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply