Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo Friday 09th October 2026 09:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
Eerste Divisie logo

Eerste Divisie

View league ›
Jong Ajax logo Jong Ajax View team ›
Oct. 9, 2026 6 days, 6 hours ago
0 – 3
Full Time
VVV Venlo logo VVV Venlo View team ›

Match Analysis

Jong Ajax VVV Venlo
Jong Ajax D L L W D W
VVV Venlo W L W W L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Jong Ajax have had poor recent form, while VVV Venlo have shown moderate recent performance. There is also a significant quality gap favoring VVV Venlo, and they have dominated recent meetings between these two sides. The model predicts a 44% chance of an away win, which is notably higher than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a strong chance of both teams scoring and of there being more than 2.5 goals in the match, aligning with the market's inclination toward a higher-scoring game.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
VVV Venlo Jong Ajax 0 - 1 March 17, 2026
Jong Ajax VVV Venlo 2 - 4 September 26, 2025
VVV Venlo Jong Ajax 1 - 0 March 7, 2025
Jong Ajax VVV Venlo 0 - 1 November 1, 2024
VVV Venlo Jong Ajax 2 - 0 May 3, 2024
Jong Ajax VVV Venlo 3 - 0 October 6, 2023

Jong Ajax Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 18, 26 Home Roda 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 14, 26 Away Jong Utrecht 6 - 1 Loss
Sep 11, 26 Home Waalwijk 0 - 2 Loss
Sep 4, 26 Away Almere City FC 0 - 1 Win
Aug 31, 26 Away Jong PSV 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 28, 26 Home Helmond Sport 3 - 2 Win

VVV Venlo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 4, 26 Home Roda 2 - 0 Win
Sep 26, 26 Away FC Volendam 3 - 2 Loss
Sep 18, 26 Away Jong Utrecht 1 - 3 Win
Sep 11, 26 Home FC OSS 3 - 1 Win
Sep 4, 26 Away Helmond Sport 4 - 2 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Home Emmen 4 - 0 Win

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 VVV Venlo 9 6 0 3 23 14 +9 18
17 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13 22 -9 8

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.96% likelihood that both Jong Ajax and VVV Venlo will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

VVV Venlo to win
This prediction indicates that VVV Venlo has a 44.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.52 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 75.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans
Top Picks
Subscribe to unlock top picks View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]
[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

Eerste Divisie

VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. › FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Den Bosch vs FC OSS 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. ›

Latest transfers

All transfers

From the blog

More from the blog