Jong AZ vs Den Bosch Friday 09th October 2026 09:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 9, 2026 6 days, 6 hours ago
0 – 1
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Match Analysis

Jong AZ Den Bosch
Jong AZ W D L W W L
Den Bosch D L W L L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Jong AZ with a 48% probability, noting that the market odds (Home 1.90) suggest a similar level of confidence. Jong AZ is seen as the stronger team and are in better recent form, plus they have a rest advantage. Despite recent meetings often ending in draws, the model leans toward a Jong AZ victory due to the clear quality gap. Additionally, the model strongly expects both teams to score (66%) and for the match to have more than 1.5 goals (70%) and more than 2.5 goals (75%), seeing these outcomes as particularly likely given the even shot volume recently and the market's alignment with these predictions (Over1.5 at 1.04, Over2.5 at 1.20, BTTS Yes at 1.23).

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Jong AZ Den Bosch 2 - 2 February 23, 2026
Den Bosch Jong AZ 2 - 3 September 26, 2025
Jong AZ Den Bosch 0 - 0 April 28, 2025
Den Bosch Jong AZ 6 - 0 August 16, 2024
Den Bosch Jong AZ 0 - 0 February 16, 2024
Jong AZ Den Bosch 0 - 0 December 11, 2023

Jong AZ Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 18, 26 Home FC Volendam 4 - 1 Win
Sep 14, 26 Away Jong PSV 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 11, 26 Away Heracles 3 - 2 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Away Dordrecht 3 - 6 Win
Aug 31, 26 Home Jong Utrecht 2 - 1 Win
Aug 28, 26 Home MVV 1 - 2 Loss

Den Bosch Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 3, 26 Home Dordrecht 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 27, 26 Away De Graafschap 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 18, 26 Home Helmond Sport 2 - 1 Win
Sep 13, 26 Away FC Volendam 2 - 0 Loss
Sep 7, 26 Away Jong PSV 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 28, 26 Home Vitesse 1 - 4 Loss

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Jong AZ 9 4 1 4 22 17 +5 13
16 Den Bosch 9 2 2 5 13 18 -5 8

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.8% likelihood that both Jong AZ and Den Bosch will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Jong AZ to win
This prediction indicates that Jong AZ has a 48.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.86 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 74.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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