Primera C logo

Primera C

Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Juventud Unida Puerto Nuevo
Juventud Unida W W D L W W
Puerto Nuevo W D W W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Juventud Unida and Puerto Nuevo are closely matched in overall quality, but recent form and head-to-head history add some nuance to this matchup. Both teams have been in strong form recently, and their past encounters have often ended in draws. However, the model predicts a home win with a 38% probability, which is slightly less confident than what the market odds imply. The model also flags the 'Under 2.5 goals' outcome as a sure tip, showing notable confidence compared to the market odds, suggesting a lower-scoring game is expected despite Puerto Nuevo’s recent defensive issues and rest advantage.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Puerto Nuevo Juventud Unida 2 - 2 April 12, 2026
Juventud Unida Puerto Nuevo 4 - 0 November 17, 2024
Puerto Nuevo Juventud Unida 1 - 1 June 16, 2024
Puerto Nuevo Juventud Unida 1 - 1 September 26, 2021
Juventud Unida Puerto Nuevo 2 - 3 May 17, 2021
Puerto Nuevo Juventud Unida 2 - 0 December 13, 2020

Juventud Unida Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 4, 26 Away Claypole 0 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Defensores de Cambaceres 3 - 1 Win
Jul 12, 26 Home Lugano 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 5, 26 Away Sacachispas 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home Argentino Rosario 3 - 0 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home Estrella Del Sur 2 - 0 Win

Puerto Nuevo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 31, 26 Home Sacachispas 1 - 0 Win
Jul 23, 26 Away Argentino Rosario 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 17, 26 Away Fénix 0 - 1 Win
Jul 12, 26 Home Estrella Del Sur 1 - 0 Win
Jul 5, 26 Away Berazategui 0 - 2 Win
Jun 28, 26 Home Victoriano Arenas 2 - 1 Win

Primera C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Puerto Nuevo 22 9 9 4 20 18 +2 36
15 Juventud Unida 21 7 7 7 23 20 +3 28

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.36% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Juventud Unida to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Juventud Unida has a 37.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.35 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans
Top Picks
Subscribe to unlock top picks View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]