KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri Sunday 20th September 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Úrvalsdeild

KA Akureyri

Sept. 20, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Thor Akureyri

Match Analysis

KA Akureyri Thor Akureyri

KA Akureyri W D L D L L

Thor Akureyri W W L L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
KA Akureyri	Thor Akureyri	0 - 0	July 27, 2026
Thor Akureyri	KA Akureyri	0 - 1	May 2, 2026
Thor Akureyri	KA Akureyri	0 - 3	September 24, 2016
KA Akureyri	Thor Akureyri	1 - 0	July 16, 2016

KA Akureyri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 6, 26	Home	Breidablik	2 - 1	Win
Aug 30, 26	Away	Fram Reykjavik	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 23, 26	Home	KR Reykjavik	3 - 5	Loss
Aug 17, 26	Away	Valur Reykjavik	4 - 4	Draw
Aug 9, 26	Home	FH hafnarfjordur	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 5, 26	Away	Keflavik	3 - 0	Loss

Thor Akureyri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 6, 26	Home	FH hafnarfjordur	1 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0 - 1	Win
Aug 23, 26	Away	Stjarnan	4 - 2	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Keflavik	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Away	IA Akranes	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 4, 26	Home	Breidablik	1 - 0	Win

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Thor Akureyri	21	5	3	13	21	50	-29	18
12	KA Akureyri	21	4	5	12	33	47	-14	17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.98% likelihood that both KA Akureyri and Thor Akureyri will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

KA Akureyri to win

This prediction indicates that KA Akureyri has a 52.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.32 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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