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Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
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Match Analysis

KAMAZ Volga Ulyanovsk
KAMAZ D L L L D L
Volga Ulyanovsk L W L L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

KAMAZ have had moderate form recently, while Volga Ulyanovsk come in with better recent performance. Despite this, KAMAZ do have a modest quality edge and have historically dominated this specific matchup. The model predicts a 47% chance of a home win, showing slightly more confidence than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a 51% chance that both teams will score and a 48% chance that the game will finish with under 1.5 goals.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Volga Ulyanovsk KAMAZ 0 - 1 January 30, 2026
KAMAZ Volga Ulyanovsk 2 - 3 November 8, 2025
Volga Ulyanovsk KAMAZ 1 - 2 July 26, 2025
KAMAZ Volga Ulyanovsk 0 - 0 March 6, 2023
Volga Ulyanovsk KAMAZ 0 - 2 August 13, 2022
Volga Ulyanovsk KAMAZ 2 - 1 June 20, 2022

KAMAZ Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 3, 26 Away FC UFA 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 27, 26 Home Rotor Volgograd 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 19, 26 Home Nizhny Novgorod 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Away Spartak Kostroma 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Away FK Neftekhimik 3 - 3 Draw
Jul 1, 26 Home FK Neftekhimik 2 - 3 Loss

Volga Ulyanovsk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Home Chelyabinsk 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home FK Neftekhimik 2 - 0 Win
Jul 19, 26 Away Torpedo Moskva 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Enisey 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 2, 26 Away Veles 0 - 2 Win
Jun 28, 26 Away Spartak Kostroma 1 - 1 Draw

First League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
16 Volga Ulyanovsk 4 1 0 3 4 7 -3 3
17 KAMAZ 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1

Predictions

KAMAZ to win
This prediction indicates that KAMAZ has a 46.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.43 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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