Kariobangi Sharks vs Mombasa Elite Tuesday 06th October 2026 03:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Match Analysis

Kariobangi Sharks Mombasa Elite
Kariobangi Sharks L W D D W D
Mombasa Elite W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Mombasa Elite Kariobangi Sharks 2 - 1 October 1, 2026

Kariobangi Sharks Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 1, 26 Away Mombasa Elite 2 - 1 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Sofapaka 6 - 0 Win
May 27, 26 Away Police 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Homeboyz 2 - 2 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Nairobi United 2 - 0 Win
May 3, 26 Away Bidco United 0 - 0 Draw

Mombasa Elite Form (Last 1 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 1, 26 Home Kariobangi Sharks 2 - 1 Win

FKF Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Kariobangi Sharks 34 9 14 11 32 31 +1 41
19 Mombasa Elite 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.0% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Kariobangi Sharks to win
This prediction indicates that Kariobangi Sharks has a 46.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.06 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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