Veikkausliiga
Match Analysis
KuPS
Mariehamn
KuPS
D
W
L
W
L
W
Mariehamn
L
D
L
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariehamn | KuPS | 1 - 1 | May 16, 2026 |
| KuPS | Mariehamn | 2 - 0 | March 14, 2026 |
| Mariehamn | KuPS | 1 - 0 | June 18, 2025 |
| KuPS | Mariehamn | 4 - 1 | April 23, 2025 |
| KuPS | Mariehamn | 3 - 0 | August 25, 2024 |
| Mariehamn | KuPS | 2 - 2 | April 13, 2024 |
KuPS Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | CS Universitatea Craiova | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Gnistan | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Sabah FA | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | VPS | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Sabah FA | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | SJK | 0 - 2 | Win |
Mariehamn Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Turku PS | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | AC Oulu | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Lahti | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Gnistan | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | VPS | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Inter Turku | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Veikkausliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 33 | 16 | +17 | 39 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 9 | 39 | -30 | 5 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.49% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.KuPS to win
This prediction indicates that KuPS has a 76.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 13.89 %Most Likely Scorelines
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