Veikkausliiga logo

Veikkausliiga

Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
0 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

AC Oulu HJK helsinki
AC Oulu W D L L D L
HJK helsinki D L W W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for HJK Helsinki with a 47% probability, suggesting that while it's not a certainty, HJK is favored due to their clear quality advantage and stronger recent form compared to AC Oulu. The market odds, which imply a stronger favoritism for HJK, align closely with the model's view. Additionally, the model sees a 56% chance that both teams will score and a 56% chance that there will be over 1.5 goals, indicating an expectation of a game with goals, which is also supported by the market odds favoring these outcomes.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
HJK helsinki AC Oulu 0 - 1 April 11, 2026
HJK helsinki AC Oulu 3 - 1 July 20, 2025
AC Oulu HJK helsinki 0 - 4 June 14, 2025
HJK helsinki AC Oulu 3 - 0 July 27, 2024
AC Oulu HJK helsinki 1 - 0 May 31, 2024
AC Oulu HJK helsinki 1 - 3 August 27, 2023

AC Oulu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Home Ilves 1 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Mariehamn 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Gnistan 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Turku PS 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home Lahti 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 23, 26 Away VPS 5 - 1 Loss

HJK helsinki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 6, 26 Home Motherwell 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 3, 26 Away SJK 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 30, 26 Away Coleraine FC 0 - 3 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Turku PS 1 - 0 Win
Jul 23, 26 Home Coleraine FC 5 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home VPS 2 - 1 Win

Veikkausliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 AC Oulu 18 9 3 6 22 21 +1 30
6 HJK helsinki 18 8 4 6 28 23 +5 28

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.48% likelihood that both AC Oulu and HJK helsinki will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

HJK helsinki to win
This prediction indicates that HJK helsinki has a 46.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.97 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans
Top Picks
Subscribe to unlock top picks View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]