Ilves vs Mariehamn Saturday 08th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Ilves Mariehamn

Ilves L W W D L D

Mariehamn L L L L L L

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Mariehamn	Ilves	2 - 2	April 18, 2026
Ilves	Mariehamn	2 - 1	August 31, 2025
Mariehamn	Ilves	3 - 2	April 27, 2025
Ilves	Mariehamn	2 - 0	August 11, 2024
Mariehamn	Ilves	0 - 1	April 28, 2024
Ilves	Mariehamn	2 - 1	September 27, 2023

Ilves Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 23, 26	Away	Stjarnan	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 20, 26	Away	Turku PS	1 - 3	Win
Jul 16, 26	Home	FC Differdange 03	3 - 1	Win
Jul 8, 26	Away	FC Differdange 03	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	FF Jaro	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	SJK	2 - 2	Draw

Mariehamn Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 20, 26	Home	Lahti	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Gnistan	4 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	VPS	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	Inter Turku	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 23, 26	Home	HJK helsinki	0 - 4	Loss
Jun 18, 26	Away	AC Oulu	2 - 1	Loss

Veikkausliiga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Ilves	16	5	4	7	28	30	-2	19
12	Mariehamn	16	0	4	12	8	35	-27	4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.76% likelihood that both Ilves and Mariehamn will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Ilves to win

This prediction indicates that Ilves has a 70.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.76 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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