Ilves vs Mariehamn Saturday 08th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Veikkausliiga

Ilves

Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago

2 – 0

Full Time

Mariehamn

Match Analysis

Ilves Mariehamn

Ilves L L W W L W

Mariehamn L D L L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Ilves have been in moderate recent form, while Mariehamn have struggled lately. The model predicts a home win with a 74% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds suggest. The model also sees a strong chance of over 1.5 goals, at 70%, aligning with the market's strong bias toward a high-scoring game. Factors like Ilves' historical dominance in recent meetings, their creation of more shooting chances, and Mariehamn's recent defensive issues all support this outlook.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Mariehamn	Ilves	2 - 2	April 18, 2026
Ilves	Mariehamn	2 - 1	August 31, 2025
Mariehamn	Ilves	3 - 2	April 27, 2025
Ilves	Mariehamn	2 - 0	August 11, 2024
Mariehamn	Ilves	0 - 1	April 28, 2024
Ilves	Mariehamn	2 - 1	September 27, 2023

Ilves Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 6, 26	Away	HNK Rijeka	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 2, 26	Away	AC Oulu	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 30, 26	Home	Stjarnan	1 - 0	Win
Jul 26, 26	Home	Lahti	1 - 0	Win
Jul 23, 26	Away	Stjarnan	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 20, 26	Away	Turku PS	1 - 3	Win

Mariehamn Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Turku PS	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	AC Oulu	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 20, 26	Home	Lahti	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Gnistan	4 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	VPS	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	Inter Turku	0 - 2	Loss

Veikkausliiga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Ilves	18	6	4	8	29	31	-2	22
12	Mariehamn	18	0	5	13	9	39	-30	5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.19% likelihood that both Ilves and Mariehamn will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Ilves to win

This prediction indicates that Ilves has a 73.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.45 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 68.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Top Picks

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Odds Comparison

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Veikkausliiga

Gnistan vs KuPS 8 hours from now · 7 p.m. › Lahti vs Mariehamn 7 hours from now · 6 p.m. › Turku PS vs SJK 7 hours from now · 6 p.m. › VPS vs AC Oulu 7 hours from now · 6 p.m. › Ilves vs FF Jaro 7 hours from now · 6 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Ilves Form (Last 6 Matches)

Mariehamn Form (Last 6 Matches)

Veikkausliiga Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Ilves to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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