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Veikkausliiga

Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 1
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Match Analysis

KuPS Turku PS
KuPS D W L W L W
Turku PS W L L W L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model sees a clear quality gap favoring KuPS, suggesting they are the stronger side heading into this match. Despite both teams showing moderate recent form and KuPS having created more shooting chances, the historical dominance and goal-scoring trends in recent meetings between these sides support the prediction. The model predicts a home win with a 65% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds imply. Additionally, the likelihood of both teams scoring and the total goals exceeding 1.5 and 2.5 are also seen as favorable outcomes, aligning reasonably with the market's view on these aspects.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Turku PS KuPS 1 - 2 June 17, 2026
Turku PS KuPS 3 - 2 November 4, 2020
KuPS Turku PS 3 - 1 August 29, 2020
KuPS Turku PS 2 - 1 October 21, 2018
KuPS Turku PS 3 - 2 August 5, 2018
Turku PS KuPS 0 - 0 June 1, 2018

KuPS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 6, 26 Home CS Universitatea Craiova 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Gnistan 0 - 1 Win
Jul 28, 26 Home Sabah FA 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home VPS 3 - 1 Win
Jul 21, 26 Away Sabah FA 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away SJK 0 - 2 Win

Turku PS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home Mariehamn 3 - 0 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away HJK helsinki 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 20, 26 Home Ilves 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home AC Oulu 3 - 0 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away SJK 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home FF Jaro 3 - 2 Win

Veikkausliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 KuPS 18 11 6 1 33 16 +17 39
8 Turku PS 18 7 4 7 23 20 +3 25

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.6% likelihood that both KuPS and Turku PS will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
KuPS to win
This prediction indicates that KuPS has a 64.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.86 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Top Picks
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Odds Comparison
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