Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice Saturday 08th August 2026 06:30 PM football predictions.

Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan

Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago

3 – 0

Full Time

Piast Gliwice

Match Analysis

Lech Poznan Piast Gliwice

Lech Poznan W W L D W W

Piast Gliwice W L W D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Lech Poznan and Piast Gliwice both arrive with strong recent form, but there is a clear quality gap favoring the home side. Despite Piast Gliwice's recent dominance in head-to-head meetings and their rest advantage, the model predicts a home win with a 59% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds suggest. The model also sees a good chance for both teams to score and for the match to exceed 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market's view on these points.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Lech Poznan	Piast Gliwice	3 - 0	February 15, 2026
Piast Gliwice	Lech Poznan	1 - 0	February 3, 2026
Lech Poznan	Piast Gliwice	1 - 0	May 24, 2025
Piast Gliwice	Lech Poznan	0 - 0	November 29, 2024
Lech Poznan	Piast Gliwice	0 - 1	June 29, 2024
Lech Poznan	Piast Gliwice	0 - 1	December 10, 2023

Lech Poznan Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 6, 26	Home	KI Klaksvik	1 - 0	Win
Aug 1, 26	Away	Wieczysta Kraków	1 - 2	Win
Jul 29, 26	Home	Aarhus	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Cracovia Krakow	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 21, 26	Away	Aarhus	1 - 4	Win
Jul 16, 26	Home	Gornik Zabrze	3 - 1	Win

Piast Gliwice Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Wisla Krakow	4 - 3	Win
Jul 27, 26	Away	Zaglebie Lubin	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Odra Opole	0 - 2	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Miedz Legnica	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Baník Ostrava	1 - 0	Win
Jul 1, 26	Away	GKS Katowice	0 - 1	Win

Ekstraklasa Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	2	1	+1	4
11	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.61% likelihood that both Lech Poznan and Piast Gliwice will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Lech Poznan to win

This prediction indicates that Lech Poznan has a 58.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.00 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Lech Poznan Form (Last 6 Matches)

Piast Gliwice Form (Last 6 Matches)

Ekstraklasa Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Lech Poznan to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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