Lokomotiv Sofia vs Dukagjini Saturday 04th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Lokomotiv Sofia Dukagjini

Lokomotiv Sofia W L W D D D

Dukagjini W W D L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Lokomotiv Sofia	Dukagjini	1 - 1	January 25, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Home	Drita	2 - 1	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Spartak Varna	3 - 0	Loss
May 18, 26	Home	Slavia Sofia	2 - 0	Win
May 14, 26	Home	Beroe	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Montana	2 - 2	Draw
May 5, 26	Home	Botev Vratsa	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jan 26, 26	Away	Veres Rivne	0 - 1	Win
Jan 31, 25	Away	Levski Krumovgrad	0 - 1	Win
Jan 29, 25	Away	Aktobe	1 - 1	Draw
Jan 25, 25	Away	Wisla Krakow	4 - 1	Loss
Jan 29, 24	Away	Oleksandria	1 - 0	Loss
Jan 23, 24	Away	Levski Sofia	1 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
584	Lokomotiv Sofia	7	2	1	4	8	12	-4	7
1152	Dukagjini	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.79% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Lokomotiv Sofia will score 0 goals, and Dukagjini will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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