Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow Saturday 11th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Lokomotiv Spartak Moscow

Lokomotiv D L W D L D

Spartak Moscow D D W W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Spartak Moscow	Lokomotiv	2 - 1	April 5, 2026
Lokomotiv	Spartak Moscow	2 - 3	November 26, 2025
Spartak Moscow	Lokomotiv	3 - 1	November 6, 2025
Lokomotiv	Spartak Moscow	4 - 2	August 9, 2025
Spartak Moscow	Lokomotiv	5 - 2	November 23, 2024
Lokomotiv	Spartak Moscow	3 - 1	September 28, 2024

Lokomotiv Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Rodina Moskva	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	CSKA Moscow	3 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Baltika	1 - 0	Win
May 1, 26	Home	Dynamo	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Krylia Sovetov	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 22, 26	Home	Zenit	0 - 0	Draw

Spartak Moscow Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	FC Krasnodar	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Makhachkala	0 - 0	Draw
May 11, 26	Home	Rubin	2 - 1	Win
May 6, 26	Home	CSKA Moscow	1 - 0	Win
May 1, 26	Away	Krylia Sovetov	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	Nizhny Novgorod	1 - 2	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
15	Lokomotiv	10	6	3	1	22	9	+13	21
134	Spartak Moscow	5	4	1	0	11	4	+7	13

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.82% likelihood that both Lokomotiv and Spartak Moscow will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Spartak Moscow to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Spartak Moscow has a 40.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.61 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs