USL Championship
Match Analysis
Louisville City
El Paso Locomotive
Louisville City
L
W
D
L
W
W
El Paso Locomotive
W
W
W
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| El Paso Locomotive | Louisville City | 0 - 1 | March 16, 2024 |
| Louisville City | El Paso Locomotive | 0 - 3 | March 25, 2023 |
| El Paso Locomotive | Louisville City | 0 - 1 | July 31, 2022 |
Louisville City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Indy Eleven | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Orange County SC | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | San Antonio | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 5 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Birmingham Legion | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Trinidad and Tobago | 1 - 0 | Win |
El Paso Locomotive Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Colorado Springs | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | San Antonio | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Oakland Roots | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Monterey Bay | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Orange County SC | 2 - 0 | Loss |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 28 | +7 | 37 |
| 12 | Louisville City | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 36 | +1 | 31 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.47% likelihood that both Louisville City and El Paso Locomotive will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Louisville City to win
This prediction indicates that Louisville City has a 48.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.58 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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