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Primera C

Aug. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Lugano Victoriano Arenas
Lugano W D D W W L
Victoriano Arenas L D D L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Victoriano Arenas Lugano 0 - 0 April 12, 2026
Lugano Victoriano Arenas 0 - 0 July 13, 2024
Victoriano Arenas Lugano 2 - 1 February 10, 2024
Lugano Victoriano Arenas 2 - 2 April 10, 2018
Victoriano Arenas Lugano 2 - 1 November 13, 2017
Lugano Victoriano Arenas 1 - 0 April 17, 2017

Lugano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 17, 26 Home Sportivo Barracas 3 - 2 Win
Jul 12, 26 Away Juventud Unida 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Home JJ Urquiza 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Away Sacachispas 0 - 1 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home Mercedes 1 - 0 Win
Jun 6, 26 Away Argentino Rosario 2 - 1 Loss

Victoriano Arenas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 17, 26 Away Deportivo Español 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Away Mercedes 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 5, 26 Home Deportivo Paraguayo 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 28, 26 Away Puerto Nuevo 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Leandro N. Alem 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 7, 26 Home Defensores de Cambaceres 1 - 0 Win

Primera C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Lugano 20 7 8 5 24 19 +5 29
14 Victoriano Arenas 20 6 9 5 17 13 +4 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Lugano to win
This prediction indicates that Lugano has a 43.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.75 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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