Lyon vs Mâcon Wednesday 08th July 2026 11:30 AM football predictions.

Lyon Mâcon

Lyon L L W W W W

Mâcon L W W L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	Lens	0 - 4	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Toulouse	2 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Rennes	4 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Auxerre	3 - 2	Win
Apr 19, 26	Away	Paris Saint Germain	1 - 2	Win
Apr 12, 26	Home	Lorient	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Nov 30, 24	Home	Sochaux	0 - 2	Loss
Nov 16, 24	Away	Guéreins Genouilleux	0 - 4	Win
Aug 7, 24	Home	Villefranche	1 - 0	Win
Nov 18, 23	Home	Louhans-Cuiseaux	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 28, 23	Away	Villefranche	3 - 0	Loss
Nov 19, 22	Away	Chamalières	4 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Mâcon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.3% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Lyon has a 45.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.48 %

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