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Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
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Match Analysis

Macva IMT Novi Beograd
Macva L L L L D W
IMT Novi Beograd L W W W L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

IMT Novi Beograd is seen as the stronger side in this matchup, with a clear quality gap in their favor and having created more shooting chances recently. However, Macva's poor recent form adds some uncertainty. The model predicts an away win with a 48% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds suggest. The model also leans toward 'over' for 1.5 goals at 55%, aligning with the market's inclination toward a higher-scoring game, despite recent meetings often ending in draws with many goals.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
IMT Novi Beograd Macva 1 - 3 March 22, 2023
Macva IMT Novi Beograd 0 - 0 September 24, 2022
IMT Novi Beograd Macva 6 - 1 April 4, 2022
Macva IMT Novi Beograd 1 - 1 October 24, 2021

Macva Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 3, 26 Away Vojvodina 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home FK Partizan 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away FK Crvena Zvezda 5 - 0 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home Naftagas 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Loznica 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 5, 26 Home Mladost Lucani 2 - 1 Win

IMT Novi Beograd Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 3, 26 Home Gazişehir Gaziantep 0 - 3 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Away FK Partizan 1 - 2 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Zemun 4 - 0 Win
Jul 19, 26 Away Cukaricki 0 - 1 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home Akhmat 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Radnicki 1923 1 - 0 Loss

Super Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 IMT Novi Beograd 3 3 0 0 7 1 +6 9
14 Macva 3 0 0 3 1 10 -9 0

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
IMT Novi Beograd to win
This prediction indicates that IMT Novi Beograd has a 47.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.54 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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