Makhachkala vs Leningradets Saturday 04th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Makhachkala Leningradets

Makhachkala W W D D L L

Leningradets L L W D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Makhachkala	Leningradets	2 - 0	March 10, 2024
Leningradets	Makhachkala	1 - 2	September 10, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Ural	2 - 0	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Ural	0 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Spartak Moscow	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Akhmat	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	FC Rostov	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	FC Krasnodar	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Zenit	4 - 0	Loss
Feb 5, 26	Home	Surkhon	0 - 2	Loss
Jan 29, 26	Away	Montana	0 - 1	Win
Jan 21, 26	Away	Volga Ulyanovsk	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 20, 25	Home	Luki-Energiya	2 - 0	Win
Feb 16, 25	Home	Enisey	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Makhachkala	9	7	1	1	18	2	+16	22
919	Leningradets	4	1	1	2	3	8	-5	4

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.47% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Makhachkala has a 41.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.45 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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