Mantova vs Athletic Carpi Sunday 09th August 2026 09:30 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports

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Aug. 9, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Mantova Athletic Carpi

Mantova W L W W L W

Athletic Carpi L W L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Mantova Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Ambrosiana	7 - 0	Win
May 8, 26	Away	Frosinone	5 - 0	Loss
May 1, 26	Home	Monza	3 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Sudtirol	0 - 3	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Avellino	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 12, 26	Away	Spezia	0 - 2	Win

Athletic Carpi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Cesena	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	2 - 3	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Forli	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 12, 26	Away	Vis Pesaro	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Home	Pontedera	2 - 0	Win
Mar 21, 26	Home	Pineto	1 - 2	Loss

Predictions

Mantova to win

This prediction indicates that Mantova has a 61.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.11 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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