Margate vs Dover Saturday 04th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Margate Dover

Margate W D L L D W

Dover D L L L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dover	Margate	3 - 1	August 2, 2025
Margate	Dover	1 - 2	July 9, 2024

Margate Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 19, 25	Home	Cobham	1 - 0	Win
Aug 16, 25	Away	Cobham	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 2, 25	Away	Dover	3 - 1	Loss
Oct 1, 24	Away	Horsham	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 28, 24	Home	Horsham	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 14, 24	Away	Bognor Regis Town	0 - 4	Win

Dover Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Home	Chesham United	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Maidenhead	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Farnborough	1 - 3	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	Ebbsfleet United	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Home	Maidstone Utd	0 - 2	Loss
Mar 28, 26	Away	Salisbury	2 - 1	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Dover	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	Margate	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.75% likelihood that both Margate and Dover will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Margate to win

This prediction indicates that Margate has a 40.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.92 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs