Maribor vs Charlton Friday 10th July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Maribor Charlton

Maribor W L L L L W

Charlton L W L D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Aluminij	3 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Mura	2 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Olimpija Ljubljana	0 - 3	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Radomlje	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	Bravo	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Primorje	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Away	Swansea	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Hull City	2 - 1	Win
Apr 22, 26	Home	Ipswich	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Sheffield Wednesday	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Preston	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	Watford	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Charlton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2436	Maribor	2	0	0	2	3	5	-2	0

This prediction indicates that Charlton has a 36.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.79 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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