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Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
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Match Analysis

Maribor Koper
Maribor D W D D D D
Koper D L D W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Koper is seen as the stronger side heading into this match, giving them an edge despite both teams being in moderate recent form. The model predicts a 39% chance of an away win for Koper, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score and for the match to feature more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning with the market's inclination towards a higher-scoring game.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Koper Maribor 3 - 1 April 14, 2026
Maribor Koper 2 - 0 February 8, 2026
Koper Maribor 1 - 0 October 19, 2025
Maribor Koper 2 - 2 August 3, 2025
Koper Maribor 1 - 1 May 18, 2025
Maribor Koper 4 - 2 March 16, 2025

Maribor Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Away Celje 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Brinje-Grosuplje 3 - 0 Win
Jul 19, 26 Away Aluminij 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 10, 26 Home Charlton 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Home Železničar Pančevo 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 1, 26 Away CSKA 1948 3 - 3 Draw

Koper Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 2, 26 Away Brinje-Grosuplje 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 30, 26 Home NSI Runavik 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Radomlje 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 23, 26 Away NSI Runavik 0 - 2 Win
Jul 17, 26 Away Nafta 0 - 2 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away MTK Budapest 1 - 3 Win

1. SNL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Maribor 3 1 2 0 4 1 +3 5
4 Koper 3 1 2 0 5 3 +2 5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.74% likelihood that both Maribor and Koper will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Maribor or Koper to win
This prediction indicates that Koper has a 39.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.40 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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