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Primeira Liga

Aug. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Maritimo Casa Pia
Maritimo W L W L L L
Casa Pia W W D D W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Casa Pia Maritimo 2 - 0 March 19, 2023
Maritimo Casa Pia 1 - 2 October 3, 2022
Casa Pia Maritimo 0 - 0 July 23, 2022

Maritimo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 22, 26 Home Camacha 2 - 0 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home Leixoes 1 - 5 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home AVS 2 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home Academica 0 - 1 Loss
May 15, 26 Home Chaves 1 - 3 Loss
May 9, 26 Away Penafiel 1 - 0 Loss

Casa Pia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Away Estrela 1 - 2 Win
May 28, 26 Home Torreense 2 - 0 Win
May 20, 26 Away Torreense 0 - 0 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Rio Ave 1 - 1 Draw
May 11, 26 Away Guimaraes 0 - 1 Win
May 3, 26 Home Tondela 0 - 1 Loss

Primeira Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Casa Pia None None None None None None None None
None Maritimo None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.37% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Casa Pia to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Casa Pia has a 35.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.49 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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