Mathare United vs APS Bomet Saturday 10th October 2026 02:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Mathare United logo Mathare United View team ›
Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 13 hours ago
0 – 0
Full Time
APS Bomet logo APS Bomet View team ›

Match Analysis

Mathare United APS Bomet
Mathare United W L W L D L
APS Bomet D W W W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

APS Bomet is seen as a slightly stronger side, and they have been in better recent form than Mathare United, though the latter also show decent form. The model predicts a draw will happen about 37% of the time, which is close to what the current market odds suggest for this outcome. It also leans toward fewer goals overall, expecting under 1.5 and under 2.5 goals, and that both teams are unlikely to score, views that align with the market odds.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Mathare United APS Bomet 0 - 2 May 10, 2026
APS Bomet Mathare United 1 - 1 November 9, 2025

Mathare United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Bandari 1 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Ulinzi Stars 2 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Mara Sugar 0 - 1 Win
May 10, 26 Home APS Bomet 0 - 2 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Sofapaka 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Nairobi United 1 - 2 Loss

APS Bomet Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Tusker 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Home AFC Leopards 2 - 1 Win
May 20, 26 Away Bandari 0 - 2 Win
May 10, 26 Away Mathare United 0 - 2 Win
May 6, 26 Home KCB 1 - 0 Win
Apr 26, 26 Home Sofapaka 1 - 0 Win

FKF Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.29% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Mathare United will score 0 goals, and APS Bomet will score 0 goals in the football match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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