Merthyr Town vs Marine Saturday 26th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League - North

Merthyr Town

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Marine

Match Analysis

Merthyr Town Marine

Merthyr Town W W L D D D

Marine L L L W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Marine	Merthyr Town	1 - 3	April 14, 2026
Merthyr Town	Marine	1 - 3	August 19, 2025

Merthyr Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Away	Chester	0 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Macclesfield	2 - 1	Win
Aug 31, 26	Away	Buxton	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Chorley	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	South Shields	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 18, 26	Home	AFC Telford United	2 - 2	Draw

Marine Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Away	South Shields	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Worksop Town	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Away	Harborough Town	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Radcliffe	2 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	King's Lynn Town	1 - 4	Win
Aug 18, 26	Home	Chorley	0 - 2	Loss

National League - North Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
14	Merthyr Town	7	2	3	2	10	9	+1	9
18	Marine	7	2	0	5	7	8	-1	6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.88% likelihood that both Merthyr Town and Marine will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Merthyr Town to win

This prediction indicates that Merthyr Town has a 49.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.43 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National League - North

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Merthyr Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Marine Form (Last 6 Matches)

National League - North Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Merthyr Town to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

National League - North

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