Merthyr Town vs Yeovil Town Tuesday 14th July 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Merthyr Town Yeovil Town

Merthyr Town L L W L L D

Yeovil Town L L D L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Merthyr Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Home	AFC Fylde	2 - 4	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Scarborough Athletic	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 14, 26	Away	Marine	1 - 3	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Macclesfield	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	Hereford	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Home	Oxford City	1 - 1	Draw

Yeovil Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Home	Solihull Moors	1 - 4	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	York	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	FC Halifax Town	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 6, 26	Away	Eastleigh	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Home	Truro City	1 - 0	Win
Mar 31, 26	Away	Southend	2 - 1	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1647	Yeovil Town	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1647	Merthyr Town	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.51% likelihood that both Merthyr Town and Yeovil Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Merthyr Town or Yeovil Town to win

This prediction indicates that Merthyr Town has a 39.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.82 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs