Metalul Buzău vs Dunarea Calarasi Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Metalul Buzău Dunarea Calarasi

Metalul Buzău W D W W

Dunarea Calarasi L L L D L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Metalul Buzău	Dunarea Calarasi	1 - 0	February 14, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Ştefăneşti	4 - 2	Win
Jan 17, 26	Home	CSM FC Vaslui	3 - 3	Draw
Feb 14, 25	Home	Blejoi	5 - 0	Win
Feb 14, 25	Home	Dunarea Calarasi	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 14, 25	Away	Metalul Buzău	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 3, 21	Away	FC Voluntari	4 - 0	Loss
May 29, 21	Home	FC Voluntari	1 - 2	Loss
Feb 5, 21	Home	Rapid	2 - 2	Draw
Jan 22, 21	Away	Petrolul Ploiesti	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 15, 20	Home	Farul Constanta	0 - 4	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
815	Metalul Buzău	2	1	1	0	7	5	+2	4
1629	Dunarea Calarasi	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.88% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Metalul Buzău has a 37.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.23 %

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