Metz vs FC Differdange 03 Saturday 04th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Metz FC Differdange 03

Metz D L L D D L

FC Differdange 03 D L L W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Metz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Away	Nice	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Lorient	0 - 4	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Monaco	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 29, 26	Away	Seraing United	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	LE Havre	4 - 4	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Home	Paris FC	1 - 3	Loss

FC Differdange 03 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 19, 26	Home	UNA Strassen	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 28, 25	Home	Drita	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 21, 25	Away	Drita	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 14, 25	Away	FC Levadia Tallinn	0 - 1	Win
Aug 7, 25	Home	FC Levadia Tallinn	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 29, 25	Home	The New Saints	1 - 0	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1415	FC Differdange 03	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
1415	Metz	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.6% likelihood that both Metz and FC Differdange 03 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Score 2 - 2

This prediction indicates that Metz will score 2 goals, and FC Differdange 03 will score 2 goals in the football match.

Match Result (1X2) - Draw

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs