Metz vs US Mondorf-les-bains Friday 03rd July 2026 07:30 PM football predictions.

Metz US Mondorf-les-bains

Metz D L L D D L

US Mondorf-les-bains L W L W W D

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Metz	US Mondorf-les-bains	1 - 0	July 16, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Away	Nice	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Lorient	0 - 4	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Monaco	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 29, 26	Away	Seraing United	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	LE Havre	4 - 4	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Home	Paris FC	1 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 25	Away	Metz	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 30, 23	Home	Jeunesse Canach	6 - 1	Win
Feb 4, 23	Away	FC Differdange 03	5 - 1	Loss
Feb 1, 23	Home	Yellow Boys Weiler	5 - 0	Win
Jul 16, 22	Away	AS Jeunesse Esch	2 - 3	Win
Jan 25, 22	Away	AS Jeunesse Esch	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1415	Metz	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
1629	US Mondorf-les-bains	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.17% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Metz has a 37.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.11 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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