Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights Sunday 09th August 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Miami FC Las Vegas Lights

Miami FC L W D L D L

Las Vegas Lights W L L W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Las Vegas Lights	Miami FC	0 - 0	September 14, 2025
Las Vegas Lights	Miami FC	3 - 1	June 9, 2024
Miami FC	Las Vegas Lights	4 - 1	April 23, 2023
Las Vegas Lights	Miami FC	3 - 2	October 9, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 23, 26	Away	Colorado Springs	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 15, 26	Home	Indy Eleven	2 - 0	Win
Jul 5, 26	Home	Birmingham Legion	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 24, 26	Home	Orange County SC	2 - 4	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Oakland Roots	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 19, 26	Away	San Antonio	1 - 2	Win
Jul 5, 26	Home	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Orange County SC	2 - 3	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Birmingham Legion	1 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Home	FC Tulsa	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
13	Miami FC	16	5	6	5	20	24	-4	21
20	Las Vegas Lights	15	5	3	7	23	26	-3	18

This prediction indicates that Miami FC has a 39.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.30 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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