Migori Youth vs Police Sunday 11th October 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

FKF Premier League

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Migori Youth View team ›

Oct. 11, 2026 2 days, 12 hours ago

1 – 1

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Police View team ›

Match Analysis

Migori Youth Police

Police D D D D W D

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Police are seen as the stronger side in this match, with a clear quality gap favoring them over Migori Youth. The model predicts that Police have a 40% chance of winning, which is notably higher than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, Migori Youth's poor recent form and Police's moderate to strong recent performance support this prediction. The model also believes there is a less than even chance of both teams scoring and that the game is likely to have fewer than two goals overall.

Police Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	Homeboyz	1 - 1	Draw
May 27, 26	Home	Kariobangi Sharks	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Nairobi United	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	GOR Mahia	1 - 1	Draw
May 6, 26	Home	Murang'a SEAL	2 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Shabana	0 - 0	Draw

FKF Premier League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Police	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Migori Youth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Migori Youth or Police to win

This prediction indicates that Police has a 39.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.66 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Odds Comparison

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Mombasa Elite vs Homeboyz 11 hours from now · 3 p.m. › AFC Leopards vs Bandari 11 hours from now · 3 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Police Form (Last 6 Matches)

FKF Premier League Table

Predictions

Migori Youth or Police to win

Under 2.5 goals

Comments

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