Mombasa Elite vs Kariobangi Sharks Thursday 01st October 2026 02:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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FKF Premier League

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Mombasa Elite logo Mombasa Elite View team ›
Oct. 1, 2026 1 week, 5 days ago
2 – 1
Full Time
Kariobangi Sharks logo Kariobangi Sharks View team ›

Match Analysis

Mombasa Elite Kariobangi Sharks
Kariobangi Sharks W D D W D W
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Mombasa Elite have been struggling in their recent matches, while Kariobangi Sharks come in with steadier form. Despite this, the model predicts a home win with a 40% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds suggest for Mombasa Elite. The model also sees a good chance that both teams will score (51% probability), aligning with the market's view that this outcome is more likely than not.

Kariobangi Sharks Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Sofapaka 6 - 0 Win
May 27, 26 Away Police 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Homeboyz 2 - 2 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Nairobi United 2 - 0 Win
May 3, 26 Away Bidco United 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Murang'a SEAL 1 - 0 Win

FKF Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Kariobangi Sharks 34 9 14 11 32 31 +1 41
19 Mombasa Elite 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Mombasa Elite to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Mombasa Elite has a 39.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.14 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.
Odds Comparison
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Mombasa Elite vs Homeboyz 11 hours from now · 3 p.m. › AFC Leopards vs Bandari 11 hours from now · 3 p.m. ›

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