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Challenge Cup

Sept. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Montrose Dundee II
Montrose W L W L L L
Dundee II L L L L L L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Montrose Dundee II 5 - 2 August 12, 2025

Montrose Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home East Kilbride 3 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Alloa Athletic 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 11, 26 Home Fraserburgh 2 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Ross County 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Hamilton Academical 0 - 5 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Spartans 0 - 2 Loss

Dundee II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 11, 26 Away Formartine United 4 - 1 Loss
Jul 2, 26 Home Peterhead 1 - 3 Loss
Nov 11, 25 Away Elgin City 3 - 1 Loss
Oct 11, 25 Away Stirling Albion 2 - 0 Loss
Sep 23, 25 Away Inverness CT 6 - 0 Loss
Sep 6, 25 Away Forfar Athletic 4 - 1 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.45% likelihood that both Montrose and Dundee II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Montrose to win
This prediction indicates that Montrose has a 56.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.86 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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