Montrose vs ST Johnstone Saturday 04th July 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Montrose ST Johnstone

Montrose D L D L L L

ST Johnstone W W W W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Montrose	ST Johnstone	1 - 0	July 16, 2019
Montrose	ST Johnstone	0 - 1	July 21, 2018

Montrose Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Forfar Athletic	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Stenhousemuir	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Queen of the South	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Hamilton Academical	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Kelty Hearts	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 7, 26	Home	Cove Rangers	2 - 3	Loss

ST Johnstone Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 1, 26	Away	Ayr Utd	0 - 1	Win
Apr 24, 26	Home	Raith Rovers	2 - 0	Win
Apr 21, 26	Away	Dunfermline	0 - 2	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Airdrie United	4 - 0	Win
Apr 4, 26	Away	Arbroath	2 - 4	Win
Mar 28, 26	Home	Queen's Park	1 - 1	Draw

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1415	Montrose	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
1629	ST Johnstone	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.86% likelihood that both Montrose and ST Johnstone will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

ST Johnstone to win

This prediction indicates that ST Johnstone has a 48.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.30 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs