Morton vs Stranraer Saturday 04th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Morton Stranraer

Morton D L D L L W

Stranraer W D W D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Morton	Stranraer	3 - 0	July 18, 2023
Stranraer	Morton	3 - 0	July 10, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 1, 26	Home	Airdrie United	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Ross County	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Queen's Park	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Away	Raith Rovers	3 - 2	Loss
Apr 4, 26	Away	Dunfermline	3 - 1	Loss
Mar 28, 26	Home	Arbroath	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Dundela	4 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Larne	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Elgin City	0 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Stirling Albion	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Forfar Athletic	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Spartans	1 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
804	Stranraer	2	1	1	0	4	0	+4	4
1629	Morton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.09% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Morton has a 38.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.55 %

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